perm filename ECON.ESS[ESS,JMC]1 blob
sn#060976 filedate 1973-09-01 generic text, type T, neo UTF8
00100 SOME ECONOMIC PROPOSITIONS
00200
00300
00400 1. In 1973 the U.S. economy is growing very fast as it should.
00500 This produces spot shortages, because the economic servo-mechanism
00600 by which shortages raise prices which raises production operates
00700 with time constants that depend on the technology of the particular
00800 industries, on construction lags, and on the economic situation of
00900 industries related to the given one through the Leontiev matrix.
01000 This can be relieved by good predictions of future demand.
01100
01200 2. There is a certain parallelism between planning and prediction.
01300 Namely, a good economic plan will make many of the same decisions
01400 that would be made by individual producers if they knew future
01500 demand curves. There probably are some important discrepancies, however.
01600
01700 3. There ought to be a social contract that tells the relative
01800 rewards of different occupations. This contract would be subject to
01900 change by politics and other power struggles but would reduce the amount
02000 of conflict. This is because economic struggles are needed at present
02100 even to maintain a groups present share of the GNP. It could be
02200 accomplished with a universal cost-of-living adjustment to salaries
02300 with a variable deflator to adjust total demand to total supply.
02400 A corresponding regulator on the price side should also exist, but
02500 it should be less rigorous, because of the greater differentiation
02600 of products makes rigid rules difficult to define properly.
02700 4. Perhaps there ought to be futures markets in more
02800 commodities and in labor, i.e. in such a market one would be
02900 able to buy or sell a man-hour of plumbing in 1976.
03000
03100 5. The stock, commodity, and real estate brokers can be
03200 and should be substantially wiped out by a uniform computerized
03300 property exchange that everyone could join for a $25 initiation
03400 fee and charges for keeping track of transactions. Workers have
03500 had to worry about technological unemployment for many years. Now
03600 it is the brokers' turn.
03700
03800 6. All technological improvements should produce unemployment;
03900 otherwise they aren't worth making. Full employment is and should
04000 be assured by a general economic servomechanism. If we understood
04100 this mechanism better, it would work better. Probably, a first step
04200 is to provide the government with more precise controls than just
04300 controlling the interest rate and money supply.
04400 One candidate is government purchase and sale of other commodities
04500 than agricultural in order to buffer markets. Of course, there is a lot
04600 of complaint about how this has worked out in agriculture, but perhaps
04700 the troubles stem from political determination of prices paid in
04800 particular years and also because weather fluctuation generates more
04900 instability in agricultural supply than would be affected elsewhere
05000 in the economy. Perhaps there should be a rigid rule that the
05100 any government stocks would be reduced to a fixed level, e.g. a
05200 six months supply within say three years and would be bought up
05300 to that level in order to have a supply. This number would be predictable
05400 in general but all these numbers would be moved in parallel in order
05500 to have a gross economic effect.
05600
05700 5. Suppose some organization introduced the credit as a
05800 pseudo-monetary unit. A credit consists of a fixed physical
05900 mixture of commodities, e. g. 5 pounds of steel + 2 gallons
06000 of regular gas + 1 bushel of wheat + one haircut in Denver.
06100 They would buy and sell credits at current prices for the
06200 commodities involved. Some people might find it worthwhile to
06300 make loans in credits and charge interest in credits. Thus
06400 credits would be an inflation proof currency. This would cause
06500 a desire to bargain for wages expressed in credits. I suppose
06600 it's a bad idea.